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AVIATION INSURANCE IN 2009…THE STORM CLOUDS GATHER

Only the most reclusive of recluses could have failed to notice the crises that have been battering the world’s financial markets in the past 12 months.

Following the 2004 tsunami, many of us in South Africa felt that it wouldn’t really impact us and it’s true that we were not affected in the immediate aftermath. However, it wasn’t long before the waves created by that subterranean earthquake on the other side of the world started to batter the shores of Africa.

The lesson learned was that, no matter where we hide in the world today, any major disaster – natural or financial – will ultimately affect all of us, to one extent or another.

The virtual collapse of the world’s equity markets has had a devastating effect on all sectors of the world’s economy, including the global insurance industry.

Whilst the insurance market has been in freefall for several years, there were still profits to be made in certain sectors, with the notable exclusion of the aviation market which, in 2007, turned in its first major loss since 2001 and which, by all accounts, will be easily exceeded by the losses made in 2008.

Insurers who did, however, make good profits needed somewhere to invest them….and the rest is history.

The near-collapse of American International Group – the world’s largest insurer – which was saved only by a massive financial bailout by the US Federal Government, which now owns 80% of AIG’s stock, was the insurance market’s equivalent of hearing that the Rock of Gibraltar was about to split open and fall into the sea!By the way, for anyone who has not been to Gibraltar, it’s well worth putting it on your list of destinations to visit before you’re too old to travel!

Whilst it appears that AIG had become involved in underwriting extremely high-risk insurance related to the sub-prime market in the USA, AIG’s problems did illustrate that not all insurers are the same and, when times get really tough, only the fittest will survive.

The aviation insurance industry has, in 2009, entered what is euphemistically called a “hard market”. All indications are that this will endure for the next 2-3 years until market forces once more come to bear and, as night follows day, the market will enter a “soft” phase again.

What are the characteristics of a “hard market” and how do they affect the average aircraft owner who carries insurance coverage?

1 - Insurance capacity shrinks.That is, Insurers become more selective about the types of risk they will underwrite, or may withdraw from the aviation market altogether. This reduces supply and results in increased prices.

2 - Coverage terms and conditions are applied more rigorously. For example, if coverage is based on pilots with a minimum experience level, additional premiums will undoubtedly be charged for the inclusion of pilots who do not comply. If recurrency training is called for, it MUST be carried out timeously. There are many examples.

3 - Premium payment terms are enforced, with automatic cancellation in the event of late payment becoming more common (and dangerous!).

4 - Claims settlements are made strictly in accordance with policy terms. If a claim is not covered, due to a breach of policy conditions, no matter how technical, settlements may be prejudiced.

5 - Weaker Insurers may fail completely, leaving policyholders with no coverage, lost premiums and current claims unpaid. Who can forget the fallout from the collapse of the AA Mutual in 1986, which left thousands of policyholders with unpaid claims, cars stuck at panel beaters, etc?

The mere fact that the insurance market is entering a hard phase is no reason to immediately ground your aircraft or put it up for sale!However, just as in any area of life, when conditions become more difficult, greater care needs to be taken.

So how should an aircraft owner – let’s call him Joe - ensure that the hardened insurance market will not unduly affect his insurance protection?

At Dennis Jankelow & Associates, we refer to four keys aspects of any insurance programme which need to be kept in balance with each other: we call this The Right Approach to aviation insurance. This is perhaps even more relevant in difficult market conditions than at any other time.

In no particular order (because they are all equally important), the four key areas are:

Coverage

Joe must ensure that the coverage being offered is exactly what he requires, based on his particular risk profile. In particular, care must be taken to ensure that the aircraft value is appropriate, taking into account factors such as the current USD/ZAR exchange rate. In the past twelve months, the value of a $500,000 aircraft has varied from as little as ZAR3,400,000 to as much as ZAR5,100,000. So, if Joe insured his aircraft for ZAR3,400,000 in January 2008, a total loss today would cost him up to ZAR1,700,000 in lost coverage if he hadn’t amended the sum insured in the meanwhile. Consideration should be given to specifying a USD value for many types of aircraft, which creates a built-in “hedge” against currency-related fluctuations. The basic aircraft hull insurance wording will usually require fairly substantial amendment so as to “fit the bill” appropriately and to ensure that coverage has been maximised.

Legal Liability insurance is another area that requires careful consideration. All too often, liability coverage is overlooked as an unnecessary expense. However, in the event of a loss involving death or serious injury, the level of coverage that Joe had arranged will be all that stands between him and potential bankruptcy. In a recent tragic accident, in which a fully-laden aircraft crashed with the loss of all on board, it was found that the legal liability insurance coverage was limited to ZAR2,500,000 overall – hardly sufficient to cover legal costs, let alone provide any meaningful compensation. The selection of a sensible and appropriate level of legal liability coverage is a vital part of the risks analysis that should be carried out by Joe in conjunction with his insurance broker or other advisors.

A proper “needs analysis” should be conducted (it doesn’t need to be as formal as it sounds!) to ensure that the various coverages, which are available to deal with different exposures, have been identified, considered and a decision made as to whether or not to effect such insurance.Following a major engine breakdown is NOT the time to discover that Joe could have insured against such a loss but no-one thought to say anything! The same goes for a variety of types of aircraft-related insurances, such as Loss of Use, Deductible Buy-Down, Total Loss Only, Personal Accident, and so on.

Security

In difficult times, only the most financially secure insurers will be able to survive whilst maintaining high levels of coverage and service. But how does Joe establish what the financial strength of any given insurer is? This is where the ratings agencies come in. These are companies which specialise in monitoring a whole range of companies – including insurance companies – and reporting on their financial strength and/or creditworthiness. For the insurance industry worldwide, the most widely-followed rating agency is Standard & Poor’s, although there are others who will also rate insurance companies according to their own rating philosophy. The key here is to choose a ratings agency and stick to it. All too often, it is tempting to look at different agencies’ ratings of the same insurer and then choose the rating that looks the best!Unfortunately, many insurance brokers fall into this trap and the result can be extremely misleading.Follow one agency and commonsense dictates that you will always get an accurate comparison between one insurer and another and you will quickly learn what rating should be considered as a minimum.

In general terms, most international insurance brokers will require a minimum “A series” rating from Standard & Poor’s in respect of any insurer being offered to their customers. style="mso-spacerun:yes"> Where other insurers are concerned, such brokers will either decline to use them or may ask the customer to sign an indemnity undertaking, absolving the broker from any blame should things go wrong. style="mso-spacerun:yes"> Such undertakings are variously referred to as “chicken letters” or “weasel words”…the names say it all…and Joe should avoid such insurers (and insurance brokers) like the plague.

Not all insurers in South Africa are rated by Standard & Poor’s, although the major ones are.The only A-rated insurer in SA, which offers aviation insurance, is currently Santam Ltd.

Service

Once insurance coverage has been arranged, the levels of service offered by both the insurance broker and selected insurer(s) are crucially important.After all, what good is the best coverage from a fine insurer if they are not there when Joe needs them and cannot provide day-to-day service and advice to support his operation? Of course, once the insurance has been purchased, it’s too late for Joe to worry about service, so this is an aspect that needs careful consideration in advance.

There is a difference between an insurer’s ability to pay a claim (i.e. its financial strength) and its willingness to pay claims.Whilst financial strength is fundamental, it becomes meaningless without a high quality claims service and proven claims-paying willingness.

Similarly, an insurance broker which is not well-versed in aviation insurance, with a proven track record of service, advice and claims-handling (bearing in mind that brokers administer claims, they don’t actually pay them) is going to be of very little benefit once the policy has been arranged.

Cost

When all is said and done, it always comes down to the money!The finest coverage, most secure insurer and unsurpassable service levels will always come at a price.The expression “you et what you pay for” is certainly applicable to any form of insurance and especially so in terms of aviation insurance.

It was John Ruskin (1819-1900) who encapsulated the dangers of buying on the basis of price alone, when he wrote:

There is hardly anything in the world that some man cannot make a little worse and sell a little cheaper. People who consider price only are this man’s lawful prey.

It is unwise to pay too much, but it is even worse to pay too little. If you pay too much, you lose some money, that is all. If you pay too little, however, you will sometimes lose everything, as the thing you bought cannot do the intended job.

The law of economy forbids to obtain something of high value for little money. If you accept the lowest bid, you must add something for the risk taken by you. And if you do so, you have enough money to pay for something of higher value.

A well-known Lloyd’s Underwriter was once as quoted as saying that he believed his premiums were “reassuringly expensive!”.The message remains clear: for everything, insurance included, there is a reasonable price at which the product will do what you intended, properly, efficiently and without causing any undue problems.

Trying to save money by buying cheaply can be likened to stopping a clock to save time.

And this is more true in the aviation insurance market in 2009 than at any time in the past 10 years.

So whilst the storm clouds are certainly gathering, there is no need for panic or concern.However, more so than ever before, it is incumbent on aircraft owners like Joe to take a detailed interest in how their insurance affairs are conducted and to make decisions based on the factors I have outlined – The Right Approach – rather than emotion or the desire to save premium, no matter what the consequences.

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